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認證檢測無可置疑
貿易舊事
每月分送朋友幾則風趣的貿易小故事（中英雙語），約請大師和我們一路透過汗青故事，看存儲貿易。
每一件事都可以有戰略
包養網比較
本文總計2696字
估計瀏覽9分鐘
（英文文章在中文文章之后）
你盼望的任何工具，你簡直城市找到一種方式來獲得它。
我們稱一次能吃良多食品的報酬年夜胃王。在japan(日本)，有一個有名的年夜胃王叫小林尊。可是假如只是看照片，你不會看出小林尊竟然是個年夜胃王。他的身體有修肥大，身高只要五呎八吋。可是，他應當是有一個強健的胃。小時辰他老是可以或許把餐盤清光光，有時甚至連妹妹的盤子也趁便清光。
2000年秋，小林尊在三重縣四日市年夜學念經濟學。他和女伴侶住包養妹在一路。他們兩人都來自貧苦家庭。他們曾經拖欠了房租一陣子了。只能在公寓里點著燭炬取光，由於他們臨時付不起電費。
小林尊的女友傳聞有電視上有一場年夜胃王競賽，競賽的獲勝者可以賺到5000美元。小林尊的女伴侶了解小林尊在吃的方面頗有稟賦，于是她寄了一張明信片幫他報名，卻沒有告知他。
小林尊在了解本身要餐與加入競賽后，固然不年夜情愿，仍是委曲的批准了要餐與加入競賽。小林尊在年夜學里學到了博弈實際，小林尊要現實利用他所學博弈論。他了解，假如他想博得競賽，他需求一個獲勝的戰略。于是他不雅看了電視轉播的年夜胃王競賽，發明年夜大都選手在初賽中吃太多，吃太快了。是以，他們的胃在最后幾輪再也吃不下。競賽分為四個階段。小林尊的戰略是只需進階到下一階段就好了，不需求吃跨越需要的。經由過程這種方法，他可以把胃的空間留給最后階段的競賽。這個戰略與奧克蘭活動家隊在片子《魔球》中采用的戰略類似。這個球隊沒有尋求球員要有最好的衝擊率，他們只需球員能上壘就好，然后一個一個的打球，把球員送回本壘得分。
博得競賽后，小林尊持續在japan(日本)年夜胃王競賽賺到錢。但是，他盼望持續成為一名專門研究的年夜胃王選手。他把眼光投向了每年7月4日在紐約市舉辦的國際有名的奈森熱狗吃年夜賽。這個特別的競賽被以為年夜胃王世界的「超等杯」。這個競賽在科尼島曾經舉行了四十多年，還能吸引了跨越一百萬的不雅眾在ESPN頻道欣賞。
這個競賽的規定很簡略。參賽者在12分鐘內盡能夠吃更多的熱狗和面包（稱為HBD）。參賽者可以添加調味品和飲料，以輔助他們吞下更多的熱狗面包。各類飲料或調味品都可以，也不受任何多少數字限制。當最后停止的鈴響時，參賽者嘴里的任何熱狗或即便只要一部門也可以盤算為分數。可是，這些熱狗面所以，財富不是問題，品格更重要。女兒的讀書真的比她還透徹，真為當媽的感到羞恥。包在參賽者的嘴里，都必需隨后吞下往。假如參賽者把這些熱狗面包吐出來，他會被撤消標準。這種情形被稱為「命運的逆轉」。
小林尊決議餐與加入2001年內森的競賽。那時的保有記載是在12分鐘內到達25又1/8的熱狗面包。
那么小林尊餐與加入此次競賽的總成就是若何呢？你不會信任的，他吃了 50 個面包熱狗，對， 50 個！這簡直是之前記載的兩倍，也就是在競賽的12分鐘里，每分鐘要吃跨越4個面包熱狗。第二年，小林尊再次博得競賽，以及之后的四年，他都博得了冠軍。在他博得競賽的時代，他把記載推高到53個又3/4個面包熱狗。曩昔，從沒有一小我可以持續三次博得冠軍，更不消說持續六次了。
剛開端，小林尊的表示遭到質疑。一些敵手猜忌他作弊了。例如，也許他服用某種肌肉松弛劑或某種物資來克制反胃。或許傳說他還吞下了石頭以擴展他的胃部。還有一些人猜測，japan(日本)大夫在小林尊身上多裝了了一個食道或胃，來輔助他獲勝。
但是，這些謊言年夜多過分牽強。似乎更公道的是，他真的吃失落這么多這么快。那為什么小林尊的才能為何比其他參賽者超出跨越這么多呢？
小林尊察看到，年夜大都參賽者都采用了相似的戰略，也就是最基礎沒有戰略。他們的戰略就像是通俗人吃熱狗的加快版：把熱狗的一端塞進嘴里，品味和吞咽，然后重復這個經過歷程，直到熱狗被吃失落，他們能夠停上去喝一杯把飲料輔助吞咽。但小林尊想了解，應當有更好的方式來耗費熱狗，可以輔助他獲博得競賽。顛末沉思熟慮和操練，他想出了本身的戰略，一個真正的戰略，用來博得成功。
小林尊的戰略之一是:從頭界說競賽。小林尊把競賽以為是一項嚴厲的活動，而不是一項游戲。一旦年夜胃王競賽被界說為活動，那活動就需求身心的慎密練習，這和任何活動都一樣，以及一個沉思熟慮贏的戰略。此外，小林尊的做法與他的競爭敵手分歧。他的競爭敵手會問：「我如何才幹吃更多的熱狗？」小林尊則問：「我如何才幹讓熱狗更不難吃？」
小林尊停止了試驗，并搜集了數據。他把本身關起來，有條不紊地操練。他花了幾個月的時光測驗考試各類方式，使他的胃可以或許吃下更多的食品。他記載了一切做法的數據，以便他可以或許評價這些數據，以進步年夜胃王的有用性，并戰勝因暴食而吐逆的沖動。這種集中的操練和剖析是有趣的經過歷程。但是，假如一小我想成為這個最好的人，這個經過歷程盡對是需要的。
小林尊做的另一件事是: 謝絕接收極限。他質疑那些餐與加入這種年夜胃王比賽的人廣泛接收的極限。例如，當他開端練習時，他謝絕接收25個又1/8個面包熱狗是人體的極限。他以為，此刻的那些記載毫有意義，由於以前的競爭敵手能夠沒有停止過迷信練習。他以為年夜大都參賽者曲解了競賽的挑釁，他則包養價格專注于若何使吞咽更多的面包熱狗變得更不難。
「要害是年夜腦，而不是心臟或肺部」，名譽卓越受人尊重的腦神經學迷信家羅杰‧班尼斯特這么說。
每小我都面對著各類妨礙——不論是身材上的、經濟上的、時光上的仍是你所擁有的一切。有些妨礙無疑是嚴重或真正的的。但包養意思有些妨礙是人類不用要的自我設限。人們經常對給定的體系，或許它能轉變幾多，經常在沒有任何現實證據，或顛末剖析的情形下就接收了。這種未經歷證的希冀，會形成了報酬的妨礙，限制了我們的想象力，障礙了我們的發明力。我們應當疏忽它們。
處理題目自己曾經夠難了，假如家給了不要的限制，題目會變得更難。只要我們不限制包養網推薦我們的預期，題目才幹夠獲得處理。假如有人猜忌報酬限制的負面氣力，請想象以下狀態:假如你把跑五公里作為你的目的，你能夠會發明本身在跑完三公里后會覺得很累。但是，假如你把目的定在十公里，你能夠跑了五六公里都不會覺得倦怠。只要遠遠跨越目的，你才會覺得倦怠。
小林尊教給我們的另一件事是，簡直任何才能都可以經由過程練習來進步，無論稟賦才能若何。總的來說，小林尊傑出的年夜胃王表示，并不是他稟賦的天然才能。相反，這是透過方式培訓和有看法的立異的成果。
這種妨礙往往是報酬的，小林尊在持續贏了六年之后，被美國年夜胃王喬伊「嚼」切斯納超出的現實就證實了這一點。切斯納后來持續博得七連勝，跨越了小林尊的六連勝記載。栗子在短短 10 分鐘內吃失落了 69 個 面包熱狗 （為了平安起見2008 年競賽延長包養行情了 2 分鐘）。某些小林尊的競爭者也模擬小林某些作法，他們全都發明，吃下40，50份面包熱狗曾被視為不成能做到的工作，但顯然不是。
結論:
無論你試圖處理什么題目，在你投進時光和精神之前，都應當往清楚真正的題目。有些工作能夠比想象的簡略，而有些工作能夠更復雜。經由過程剖析題目，你會取得更好的處理計劃，而不需求反復的停止實驗。依據剖析、界說題目，盡對是處理題目的第一個步驟。假如你能很釋，為什麼一個平妻回家後會變成一個普通的老婆，那是以後再說了。 .這一刻，他只有一個念頭，那就是把這丫頭給拿下。好地界說題目，你曾經在通往有用處理計劃的途徑曾經勝利了一半。
Everything has a Winning Strategy
For almost anything that you have a strong desire for, you will find a way to get it.
We call a person who can consume much food at one time a big eater. In Japan, there is a famous big eater called Kobi (His real name is Takeru Kobayashi). But you wouldn’t know that Kobi was a big eater just from his picture. He had a slight build and is only five foot eight. However, he must have a strong stomach. When he was a child, he always cleaned his plate and sometimes cleaned his sisters’ plates too.
In the autumn of 2000, Kobi was a student studying economics at Yokkaichi University. He lived with his girlfriend. Both them came from poor families. They had been behind on their house rent and they lit candles in the apartment since they could not afford to pay the electricity bill for a while.
Kobi’s girlfriend heard that there was a televised eating competition and that the winner of the contest could pocket US$5,000. Knowing the talent for eating that Kobi had, she sent a postcard to sign him up without telling him.
Upon finding out that he had been entered into the contest, Kobi reluctantly agreed to participate. At his university, Kobi had been learning about game theory. He knew that if he wanted to wi包養網評價n the game he would need a winning strategy. So he watched the televised eating contest and found that most contestants ate too fast and too much in the early rounds, As such, their stomachs couldn’t take in any more in the last rounds. For the contest, there were fou包養俱樂部r stages. Kobi’s strategy was to get to the next stage without eating more than was necessary. Through this way, he could reserve space in his stomach for the last stage. This strategy is similar to the strategy that the Oakland Athletics used in the movie Moneyball. They didn’t p包養網VIPursue the best batting average for players but rather focused on getting multiple players on base.
After winning, Kobi went on to make more money from Japanese eating contests. However, he desired to go on to become a professional eating contestant. He set his sights on the internationally famous Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest that is held annually on July 4th in New York City. This particular contest is kind of the “Super Bowl” of eating competitions. It has been held for over four decades at Coney Island and attracts more than one million viewers on ESPN.
The rules are very simple for this contest. Contestants try to eat as many hot dogs and buns (called HBD’s) as they can in 12 minutes. Contestants may ad包養意思d condiments短期包養 and 包養網dcarddrink beverages to help them swallow包養違法 the HBD’s. All kinds of beverages or condiments are allowed without any quantity limitation. When the final bell rings, any HBD or portion thereof that is in the contestant’s mouth is added to the contestant’s total count. However, these HBD’s or portions thereof that were in a contestant’s mouth must be subsequently swallowed. If a contestant spits長期包養 any out, he or she is disqualified. Such a situation is called a “reversal of fortune.”
Kobi decided to 包養金額attend the 2001 Nathan’s contest. The existing record at that time was 25 and 1/8 HBDs in 12 minutes.
So what was Kobi’s total for this contest? You won’t believe it. He ate 50 HBDs. Fifty! That was almost twice the previous record, and represented more than four HBDs (hot dogs and buns) per minute for 12 straight minutes. The following year, Kobi won the competition again, as well as the next four years after that. During his r包養犯法嗎eign, he pushed the record up to 53¾ HDB’s. In the past, no champion had ever won more than three times in a row, much less six times in a row.
Initially, Kobi’s performance was doubted. Some rivals suspected that he had che包養網心得ated. For example, perhaps he took some kind of muscle relaxant or some kind of substance to suppress the gag reflex. He was also rumored to have swallowed stones to expand his stomach. A few speculated that Japanese doctors had surgically implanted a second esophagus or stomach in Kobi to help him win.
However, most of these rumors were far-fetched. It s包養條件eems more plausible that he really consumed so much so quickly than any of those rumor scenarios. Yet why was Kobi’s ability so much higher than that of the other contestants?
Kobi had observed that most of the contestants used a similar strategy, which wasn’t really much of a strategy at all. Their strategy was like a sped-up version of how the typical person eats a hot dog: cram one end of the hot dog into the mouth, chew and swallow, then repeat this process until the hot dog is consumed, possibly pausing to take a包養甜心網 drink to wash things down. But Kobi wondered if perhaps there was a better way to consume hot dogs that could help him win. And after thinking about it and practising, he came up with his own strategy, a real strategy, to win.
One secret to Kobi’s strategy was to redefine the contest. Kobi regarded the contest as a serious exercise or sport, instead of as a game. And once the eating contest has been defined as such, it requires intense physical and mental training, just like any sport, as well as a well-thought out strategy. Moreover, Kobi’s approach was different from that of his competitors. Where his competitors asked “How can I eat more hot dogs?” Kobi包養心得 asked “How can I make hot dogs easier to eat?”
Kobi conducted experiments and collected data. He isolated himself and practiced methodically. He spent several months trying various ways to make his stomach able to contain more food. He recorded the data from all his practices, such that he could evaluate it to improve the effectiveness of his eating technique, as well as conquer the urge包養違法 to vomit from overeating. Such concentrated practice and analysis are tedious activities. However, they are necessary if one wants to be the best.
Another thing that Kobi did was to question the generally-accepted limitations for those participating in such eating contests. For example, when he began his training, he refused to accept that包養網dcard 25⅛ HDB’s was anywhere near the maximum that was possible. He considered that the existing record was rather meaningless since prior competitors had likely not trained scientifically. He figur包養網站ed that most competitors misunderstood the challenges of the contest. He focused on how he could make it easier to swallow more HBD’s.
“It is the brain, not the heart or lungs, that is the crsd包養itical organ,” said the esteemed neurologist Roger Bannister who is best known as the first human to run the mile in less than four minutes after redefining the problem and believing that he could set a new record.
Everyone faces barriers—be they physical, financial, temporal or what have you. Some of the barriers are unquestionably significant or real. But other barriers are unnecessarily erected by humans. People often form expectations about how well a given system can function, or how much it can change without any real proof or analysis. Such unsupported expectations create artificial barriers that limit our imagination and obstruct our creativity. We should ignore them.
Solving a 包養犯法嗎problem is hard enough on its own 師父道：“夫人是不是忘了花兒絕書的內容？”and only gets harder if we unnecessarily limit our expectations for the ways that it could be solved. If one doubts the negative power of artificial limits, consider the following. If you made it your goal to run five kilometers, you’d probably find yourself getting pretty tired after about three kilometers. However, if you set your goal at ten kilometers, you might not get tired until five or six kilometers in, well past the point that you would have gotten tired had your distance goal only been five kilometers.
Another thing that Kobi teaches us is that almost any performance can be improved with training, regardless of natural ability. By and large, Kobi’s outstanding eating performance was not the result of natural ability. Rather, it was the result of methodological training and insightful innovation.
That barriers are often artificial is evidenced by the fact that Kobi was overtaken by the American eater Joey “Jaws” Chestnut after six years of dominance by Kobi. And Chestnut went on to win seven straight contests, surpassing Kobi’s record of six. Chestnut chucked down 69 HDB’s in just 10 minutes (the contest had been shortened by two minutes in 2008, likey for sa短期包養fety.) Some of Kobayashi’s rivals have copied certain strategies of his. All of them gained from the knowledge that 40 or 50 HDB, once considered a fantasy, plainly isn’t.
Conclusion:
No matter what problem you are trying to solve, you should spend your time and effort to really understand the problem before you put in the effort. Some things may be simpler than they at first appear, and other things may be more complicated. And by analysing the problem, you’ll get to a better solution without so much trial and error. Defining the problem based on analysis is absolutely the first step for solving problems. If you can define the problem well, you are already halfway down the road towards an effective solution.
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